Lithuanian Public Procurement Statistics 2021–2025: What the Data Shows
Awarda Editorial··10 min read
What do Lithuania's official procurement statistics say about competition? We compare 2021–2025 indicators, explain their limits, and outline what suppliers can act on.
In 2025, one supplier participated in 40.6% of Lithuanian public procurements conducted independently. Does that mean such a tender is easier for your company to win? Not necessarily. The figure is a useful market signal, not a guarantee. It does not tell you whether a specific contract fits your business, whether the bid would be profitable, or whether other bids were rejected.
This analysis separates what Lithuania's Public Procurement Office (VPT) data for 2021–2025 can reliably show from what it cannot calculate. The headline result is that the one-supplier share ranged from 40.6% to 44.7%, while the average number of bids in independently conducted international and simplified procurements reached 2.4 in 2025.
What does the one-supplier indicator actually measure?
The VPT indicator measures the share of procurements in which one supplier participated. Its denominator is the number of procurements in the relevant group. It is not a share of procurement value, signed contracts, or all companies active in the market.
For a business, it can be a signal to examine niches where contracting authorities are not attracting several competing suppliers. It does not prove that every such procurement is easy, profitable, or suitable. Suppliers still need to assess qualification requirements, technical specifications, contractual risks, deadlines, and pricing.
One supplier does not mean one bid
One supplier, one submitted bid, and one admissible bid remaining after evaluation are different indicators. A supplier may participate in several lots or submit more than one bid where the procedure permits it. Several submitted bids may also be rejected because of qualification, documentation, or technical requirements.
The average number of bids therefore cannot be converted into a percentage of procedures receiving exactly one bid. That calculation would require both a count of procedures with exactly one bid and a consistently defined denominator. VPT annual reports do not provide a comparable national 2021–2025 series for that measure.
How did the one-supplier share change?
Among procurements conducted independently, the one-supplier share was 40.6% in 2021, 44.7% in 2022, 43.8% in 2023, 44.7% in 2024, and 40.6% in 2025. The 2024 value comes from the retrospective row in Figure 7 of VPT's 2025 annual report.
The 2025 result was 4.1 percentage points lower than in 2024. This does not prove that competition improved evenly across every sector. The mix of procurements and contracting authorities changed, so a sector, CPV group, or buyer-level view may be more useful for an individual supplier than one national average.
Primary sources: VPT annual reports for 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2025, together with VPT's official annual-report archive.
Centralisation changes the comparison
When centralised procurement is included, the one-supplier share was 22.8% in 2023, 19.8% in 2024, and 20.4% in 2025. The independently conducted series describes procurement outside the centralised channel, while the broader indicator covers a different portfolio. They should not be merged into one unchanged time series.
VPT's 2025 report gives the 2024 figure as 19.9% in one passage and 19.8% in Figure 7. This article uses the table value while preserving the discrepancy.
How many procurements receive no bids?
A reliable national percentage cannot be calculated from VPT annual reports for 2021–2025. It would require a count of procedures receiving no bids, a consistently defined denominator, and rules for lots, repeated procedures, cancellations, and centralised procurement.
An unsuccessful procurement can mean that no bids were submitted, every bid was rejected, the procedure was cancelled, the requirement changed, or the procurement was republished. Missing aggregate data is not a zero value; it means the public reports do not support a defensible national percentage.
How much funding-call money remains unallocated?
An announced call budget, the amount requested by applicants, approved funding, signed grants, and money actually disbursed are different measures. An unallocated grant share can be calculated only by matching a completed call's announced budget to the final grant amount contracted under that same call.
We checked three expired or completed application periods: InoStartas with a €1.8 million budget, a BEISP preparation measure with €150,000, and EduTech 2 with €496,000. In the public primary pages reviewed, none exposed a final contracted total that could be reliably matched to the same call identifier. We therefore do not calculate an unallocated share.
These budgets cannot be added together and labelled a national indicator. Loans and guarantees must also remain separate from grants because their financial structure and repayment differ.
What does this mean for your company?
A high one-supplier share may point to a market worth examining, but it does not prove that a particular tender will be easy or profitable. Use national statistics as an initial signal, then decide only after reviewing the specific procurement.
Statistics cannot tell you which opportunity published tomorrow will fit your company. Preparation takes time: finding the notice, reading the requirements, collecting documents, pricing the work, and asking questions where necessary. Awarda can act as an early monitoring and filtering layer for potentially relevant opportunities, while the official notice always remains the primary source.
A reliable signal is the start of the decision
VPT data shows that the one-supplier share in independently conducted procurements ranged from 40.6% to 44.7% between 2021 and 2025. These are useful competition signals, but they are not percentages for one bid, one admissible bid, or procedures receiving no bids.
Reliable analysis sometimes ends with a clear boundary rather than a dramatic percentage. We can state what the official data shows without pretending it supports calculations that it does not. The practical next step is to spot suitable opportunities earlier, filter them for your market, and verify every decision against the primary notice.